Rabu, 31 Oktober 2012

International Spotlight: Jhonas Wiik

American author and motivational speaker Hilary Hilton 'Zig' Ziglar has been quoted as saying, 'Sometimes adversity is what you need to face in order to become successful.' If that is a definite truth, then no one will become more successful than Jhonas Wiik. A goaltender with the Lidingö Vikings in Sweden's Division 2 league, Wiik has found that, in only 25 years, he has had to overcome some significant adversity to be where he is today. He has found that life is not always easy and not always fair but, if one is determined and strong, anything can happen. Wiik's willingness to do whatever he can to make his dream come true of becoming a top-notch goalie, hopefully one day in North America, is so admirable and he will stop at nothing to make it become a reality. To make it even more remarkable, Wiik has only been playing on a competitive level for only two years. That's right… only two years. Sadly, there have been some bumps in the road along the way, ones that could have easily damaged his spirit. Like a trooper, Wiik has continued to steam ahead, showing that he is as resilient as one can be, taking every tragedy and using it as motivation to ameliorate himself, both as a player and a person.

Jhonas Jan-Erik Wiik was born on August 21, 1987, in Jakobsberg, Sweden, a suburb fifteen minutes away from the heart of the national capital of Stockholm. His father Jan was a teacher and his mother Ewa was a stay-at-home mom, both working hard to support their family of four children, which also include his three older siblings: sisters Therese and Marie, and brother Thomas. Wiik was the 'love child' of the family, born when his mother was 39 years old. To put that into perspective, Therese was fourteen years of age when baby brother Jhonas was born. Growing up, Wiik's family was not exactly the richest. In fact, they were considerably poorer than most of the people in their community. The Wiik family got by with what little they had, cramming six people into a three-bedroom apartment. Therese and Marie shared a room until Therese moved out, while Thomas and Jhonas shared another. Despite the fact that his family was not the most affluent in their neighbourhood, Wiik wanted to play hockey. He watched as his neighbours' son got to play hockey and Jhonas wanted to play, too, but his parents could not afford it. (Wiik believes that this is one reason why many young wannabe hockey players never get the chance to fulfill their dreams since it is very expensive to play the sport on a regular basis.)

Growing up, it was not only the socioeconomic adversity that made things difficult for Wiik. In addition, he was bullied a lot when he was at school. The bullying did not come from his being poor but mostly because of just how cruel kids can be to someone who just looks different. Up until pre-adolescence, Wiik was admittedly overweight, not athletic at all, and he had to wear glasses. As a short, chubby child, kids were quite cruel and it did not help his confidence. Once he entered seventh grade, things changed, especially Wiik's appearance. He had an unbelievable growth spurt and he blossomed from the small, stubby kid to a tall teenager, eventually growing to be 6'4'. High school, thankfully, was not as unkind to Wiik as elementary school. He made a lot of friends and he enjoyed himself. Wiik graduated from high school in 2006 and he wondered what to do next. He was still not sure.

*

After high school, Wiik, by this time now 19 years old, found work as an automotive technician. Even though it was not exactly what he wanted to do in life, it helped him get some money for himself. He was still living at home, all three of his older siblings already moved out on their own. Wiik worked steadily, putting in ten-hour days, hoping that he would eventually think of a suitable career path. Unfortunately, life was about to take a tragic turn. In August of 2008, Wiik's mother Ewa suffered a horrible stroke without any warning whatsoever. It was shocking to see a normally healthy woman have such an incredible medical emergency. On August 21, 2008, which was Wiik's 21st 'födelsedag' (birthday in Swedish), his mother passed away; she was only 60 years old. After losing his mother, Wiik did not change much about his daily life. He continued working as a mechanic and stayed at home with his father. Unfortunately, tragedy and adversity reared their ugly heads once more not even a year and a half later. In December of 2009, his father Jan, by now retired and 63, was diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease. This pair of tragedies profoundly impacted Wiik. He began to considerably think about what mattered in life, just how fragile and precious it is. He started suffering from anxiety, not just for his father but also for himself, and he knew that things had to change. Not long after his father's diagnosis, Wiik quit his job as a mechanic, realizing that it was not worth it to spend ten hours a day in a workplace where he was the youngest person on the payroll, especially with other mechanics being up to 30 years older than he. By the turn of the new year in 2010, he also sold his car and he used some of the money to take a trip to Thailand, just to think things through and try to find himself.

When Wiik returned to Sweden in mid-February 2010, he was still unsure about what his future held. He was still depressed with his situation and it was so bad that he actually could not picture himself finding any enjoyment in life. After much contemplation, he started to think about what he wanted to do when he was a child but his family could not afford: Becoming a hockey goalie. By Wiik's own estimation, it seemed like a pipe dream. He was 22 years old and he had never worn a pair of skates in his life. Despite his considerable inexperience, he was determined to make it happen. He was positive that no team would ever take a chance on him, especially considering the depth of talent in goal in Sweden.

*

Wiik

Jhonas Wiik wanted to play hockey very badly as a child but his family was too poor to afford to let him. In 2010, at the age of 23, he attended his first-ever hockey practice and he eventually signed with Bele Barkarby, a team in the Division 4 league in Sweden. (Dicken Foto)

In the summer of 2010, Wiik surveyed his options. He realized that, if his dreams of becoming a professional goaltender were dashed, he always had the opportunity to attend college and get a decent career. That was not on his mind, though. Wiik wanted to be a goalie. He was hoping to find a team who, by some miracle, would take a chance on him. It did not matter if it were a veteran team or a semi-professional team. He just wanted to play. By virtue of his own initiative, he emailed twenty teams all over Sweden, hoping to get a response. Finally, one of them answered his email. In the message, Wiik was given the name and email address of a coach with an under-20 team in Sweden's Division 4 league, the lowest junior division in the country. Ecstatically, he emailed this other coach and he explained his situation. Wiik told him that he had never played hockey before but it had been his dream since the age of eleven to become a goalie. He also told him that he did not even know how to skate.

Wiik got an answer back almost immediately saying, 'Welcome to our next practice.'

Not long after receiving that email, Wiik bought himself an old, used set of TPS equipment. He took to the ice at his first-ever hockey practice on September 6, 2010, at the age of 23. It was his first time ever on the ice and he immediately enjoyed it. By his own admission, Wiik cannot describe how horrible he was at playing but, at the same time, how much fun he was having. During the 2010-11 season, Wiik spent the campaign with Bele Barkarby IF, a team based out of Järfälla, five minutes away from Jakobsberg. In 20 games, he let in 560 goals but, as dissatisfactory as his 28.00 goals-against average could be, he was facing nearly 100 shots per game.

*

Wiik truly enjoyed himself in his first year of playing hockey. He made a lot of new friends and he had a lot of fun. Also, he learned a lot about nutrition and training that would help ameliorate his playing abilities. Wiik looked for more ways to improve his game and that is when he got in contact with Björn Bjurling; the former Swedish Elitserien and Norwegian GET-ligaen goaltender is also a former Edmonton Oilers draft pick and he has helped cultivate the talents of young goalies such as Filip Alexander Hammarlund and Johannes Rohrmüller, among others. Bjurling invited Wiik to his camp for a two-day skill cultivation, where he also met two goalies signed as free agents by NHL teams: Eddie Läck (Vancouver Canucks) and Niklas Svedberg (Boston Bruins). Wiik was nervous because he knew that most of the goaltenders there were very talented and he felt as though he was going to be outclassed; as well, he did not know anything at all about proper goaltending whatsoever. He did not even know what a T-push was. After the two-day camp was over, Wiik felt like a completely new person and a more confident goalie. He also developed something else, a significant friendship with Bjurling, who he has felt has become a mentor and is probably one of the newest, biggest influences on his career, on and off the ice.

With this newfound confidence, Wiik looked for a new team. He went to several tryouts, including one with Tullinge TP, a team then in Sweden's Division 4 professional league. Tullinge was a bit further away from home than his previous team, this time nearly 45 minutes away. He eventually got signed as their backup netminder. Wiik was one of four goalies used by Tullinge TP in 2011-12, the others being #1 puckstopper Rikard Kjellin and third-stringer Martin Mannerstråle. He played in four exhibition games and one regular season game for Tullinge TP in 2011.

As time progressed, though, Wiik realized that he had a short-term goal of getting to play in the Swedish Division 3 league. He trained more with Bjurling on and off the ice. By Christmas 2011, he learned that one team in that league, Solna SK, really needed a goalie. Wiik emailed their coach and, not long after, he was brought in for a tryout. Almost immediately, he signed with them, making his short-term goal a reality. Just like when he was with Tullinge TP, he was in a goalie carousel, one in which he was the oldest goaltender; the team also utilized the services of one 1993-born goalie, Emil Östberg, and one 1994-born netminder, Fredrik Lindbergh. Despite how hard Wiik was working, things were not going well in Solna. The team lost several times during the course of the season and, due to the unsatisfactory campaign in progress, many players left due to a lack of interest to sign with other squads. Wiik also left, registering a 1-6 record during his tenure.

*

Wiik

In 2011, Wiik attended a hockey camp run by former Edmonton Oilers draft pick Björn Bjurling, who later became a dear friend and mentor to him. The indelible impact has been so indelible that he cannot thank Bjurling enough. Wiik has improved so much in less than two years that he even attended a camp with the ECHL’s Elmira Jackals in 2012. Former Jackals head coach Pat Bingham was so impressed that he is helping the now 25-year-old find an agent so he can play in North America one day. Until then, Wiik will play this season with the Lidingö Vikings, a team in Sweden’s Division 2 league, a semi-professional league. (Photo: Julia Bjurling)

After his season with Solna ended, Wiik decided to aim a little higher with the next team he was to play for. He decided that the next step was Division 2 hockey. The fourth-highest professional league in Sweden, Division 2 — especially in Stockholm — is akin to semi-professional hockey, much like the Central, Southern Professional and Federal Hockey Leagues here in North America. Wiik felt that the time was right to show that, despite the fact that he had only been playing hockey for nearly two years, he could compete with goaltenders who had been playing hockey for their whole lives.

Wiik contacted Per Wirén, then the coach of the Lidingö Vikings, omitting how short of a time he has actually played, and he was brought in for a practice. He went into the dressing room and he met all of the other players hoping to make the 2012-13 roster. First and foremost, however, he met Wirén who was very stern and direct. Wiik remembers him saying, 'Hi and welcome. Find a seat and get ready for warmup. Oh, by the way, here in Lidingö, you have one chance and one chance only. I'll let you know after practice.' Wiik knew that, from here on in, it was serious. After the warmup and practice were over, he was called in to Wirén's office. He told Wiik that he liked him and that he will be able to stay, becoming the oldest of the team's three goalies, joining 1989-born Fredrik Hasslebrant and 1992-born Gustaf Huth. This year, Charles Franzén has been named the new head coach of the Vikings and he is oblivious to the fact that Wiik has only played hockey for two years.

*

While in preparation for the 2012-13 season to begin, Wiik kept himself busy. The first thing he did was attend a camp with the Sweden Hockey Institute. One of the key instructors at that camp was Stefan Ladhe. Ladhe is one of the most renowned goalie coaches in all of Sweden, serving as the national team's top men in that regard. In addition to working in the Elitserien and the HockeyAllsvenskan, he has considerable international experience, serving as the goaltending coach at eight World Junior Championships, two Men's World Championships (as well as a third for Denmark) and one World Under-18s. At SHI, Wiik met and befriended several other young goaltenders, including up-and-comers Andreas Zetterqvist, Ludvig Kullén Dansarie and Max Andersson.

Additionally, Wiik found himself with an opportunity that he never imagined, especially for a goaltender who had only been playing hockey for less than two years. He came across the Atlantic Ocean for his first-ever trip to North America but it was not just for pleasure. Wiik made his way to the rookie camp of the ECHL's Elmira Jackals. The Jackals were looking for a new start after head coach Pat Bingham resigned his post shortly after camp. (He is currently the head coach of an under-16 team in Colorado.) Despite that, Bingham, who also had coached the AHL's Bridgeport Sound Tigers, was still watching the prospective players and he was completely blown away by Wiik, both in terms of his work ethic and his obvious talent. His bewilderment was further intensified when Wiik informed him about the short length of time he had been a competitive goaltender. Bingham told Wiik that, if he wants to make his way to playing in North America, he should get an agent who can help him in getting a tryout with another team in the ECHL or a team in the Central Hockey League; at this time, Wiik is heeding to Bingham's advice and he is looking for one. Even better is the fact that Bingham is going to help Wiik, as well; he sent him an email that read, 'You do your part by working hard. Send me updates with stats and I will provide that information to the agent.' Wiik knew that this could help him to make his absolute biggest dream come true: Become a top-notch North American professional goaltender.

The 2012-13 season has not started the way that Wiik would have hoped. For the first month of the season, he has been battling a pair of ailments that have kept him sidelined. For three weeks, he suffered from the flu and he could not even practice with the team because he was feeling so sick. Not long after he recovered, another setback occurred when he was diagnosed with an eye infection. For a goalie who usually wears contacts while at practice, he has resorted to wearing his glasses until the infection goes away. From a team standpoint, there was yet another detour when the Vikings signed a fourth goaltender; Martin Sophy has transferred to the team from Botkyrka in an attempt to solidify things between the pipes.

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When Wiik comes back to Lidingö's lineup, he will be a man possessed, kept going by the notion that he now knows what it takes to make it to where he wants to be. He realizes that if, by some unfortunate mishap, he cannot make it to where he wants to be, he will have to go back to school, get a college education and find a career path for himself that does not involve becoming a professional goaltender. He does not want that. He has come so far in just a little over two years, going from being someone who had never put on skates to now playing semi-professional hockey, remarkable by anyone's admission. Wiik also recognizes the fact that there have been many goaltenders who have had long careers in the game and he hopes to be one of them, hopefully in North America. There is no telling what the next five, ten or even twenty years will hold, but he knows what he wants and he will stop at nothing to get there.

Through it all, it has seemed that everything Wiik has done to be where he is today has made him stronger, both on the ice and off of it. There have been times where he could have just given up on his dream but he has decided to go for it instead. The fact that this young man has gone from being a depressed, overworked auto mechanic to being a happy, professional hockey goaltender — and in only two years — is just proof that people are never too old to follow their dreams, as long as they keep working for it. With his happy-go-lucky attitude and his desire to keep improving, there is no reason not to believe that Wiik will find that elusive agent who can help him make his dream of playing North American hockey become a reality.

Jhonas Wiik has definitely faced adversity in order to become successful… and he also knows that he is going to make it. All he needs now is a chance to prove it.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Montreal Canadiens Prospect Nathan Beaulieu

Saint John Sea Dog defenseman, Nathan Beaulieu

At the tender age of 19, Nathan Beaulieu will most likely spend the 2012-13 season with the Hamilton Bulldogs of the AHL on his journey to the NHL. Entering his first season as a professional, Beaulieu already boasts an impressive blend of offensive skills and speed.

Power-play quarterback in the show

Beaulieu has a lot of talent. The Strathroy, Ontario native is first and foremost an offensive-defenseman that has the potential to be a very effective power-play quarterback in the show. He’s silky smooth on his skates and is a good puck-mover. Beaulieu also has the size and the raw physical tools to put up solid numbers with the Montreal Canadiens. However, I’m still just not sure exactly what to make of him and have some trouble trying to fully gauge his NHL potential.

Defensive woes

Something about his overall game just leaves you with an impression of carelessness and I'm not specifically talking about last year's World Junior Championship blunder. And let's be clear about something else, Beaulieu will never be mistaken for a top defensive-blueliner. Right off the bat, Beaulieu must improve his defensive zone coverage. He will also need to work on his mental toughness as well as his decision-making abilities (limit turnovers) if he wants to be a top-pairing defenseman with the Canadiens. A stint in Hamilton will certainly help correct these aspects of his game.

The next Keith Yandle?

The offensively gifted Beaulieu projects to be a top-four defender with Montreal, in a career that can go as far as his speed will take him. Beaulieu already has the quickness and all the offensive attributes to succeed with the Habs. However, he will need to learn how to match those skills with his defensive duties. Simplifying his game will be essential.

We have all heard the John-Michael Liles of the Toronto Maple Leafs comparison, but in my opinion, his ceiling is much higher than that. I think Beaulieu could even be a 55-60 point defenseman one day, a la Keith Yandle. In the meantime, he's someone to keep an eye on in Hamilton this season.

 

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

The Six Defensemen Drafted Before Erik Karlsson

The first round of the 2008 NHL Entry Draft featured no fewer than 11 defensemen, most of whom have achieved some measure of success at the NHL level over the past 4 years. From a Senators perspective, this particular draft class yielded Erik Karlsson, the reigning Norris Trophy winner and a risen star who will remain in Ottawa for at least the next 7 years.

Selected 15th overall, Karlsson was actually the 6th D-man to be selected, and, in looking at those who were taken before him, it can easily be argued that at least 4 of those teams made a big, big mistake.

Let’s take a look at the list, with a brief comment about the current state of the respective player’s career to date:

Drew Doughty (2)

Doughty is right there with (if not ahead of) Karlsson in terms of all-around skills & potential, and already has a Stanley Cup and Olympic gold medal on his resume. Doughty has 13 more career points to his name, but has played 100 more games than Karlsson; stack up their point per game averages (0.51 for Doughty vs 0.68 for EK) and it’s really no contest in terms of offensive production.

Zach Bogosian (3)

His game appears to be taking a bit longer than expected to develop, although he did reach a career high in points (30) and +/- last season (-3) in only 65 GP. Bogosian is only 22 years old, and still has time to become the bruising defenseman with a scorer’s touch that the Thrashers were hoping he would become when they drafted him.

Alex Pietrangelo Blues

(Vincent Muzik/Icon SMI)

Alex Pietrangelo (4)

A key piece of the puzzle for the Blues in 2011-12, many have pegged him to be the next young defenseman to enter into the Norris echelon in the very near future. Here are a few things of note, as Adam Stafki points out in his recent piece:

In just his second season in the NHL he anchored a Blues defense that led the league in goals against (1.89) as well as shots against per game (26.7). At an age where most defenseman are still attempting to adapt to the speed of the NHL Pietrangelo was averaging 24 minutes and 43 seconds of ice time per game, good for 16th amongst NHL defensemen, as well as averaging 32.9 shifts per game which topped NHL defensemen.

Luke Schenn (5)

As a member of the Maple Leafs, Schenn’s struggles were fairly well documented. This past summer, he was shipped to Philadelphia for James Van Riemsdyk, and the Flyers are hoping that a new city and a reunion with his brother can launch him to a level he was never able to reach in Toronto.

Tyler Myers (12)

Myers made the most immediate impact by taking home the Calder Trophy in 2009, and rebounded nicely during an injury-shortened ’11-’12 season from a bit of a slide through his sophomore season. Under contract in Buffalo for another 7 years (including a $10 million bonus during the lockout), he’ll be counted on by Pegula & Co. to lead the Sabres resurgence and their quest for a Cup.

Colten Teubert (13)

The main component in the deal that sent Dustin Penner out of Edmonton, to say that he hasn’t panned out would be an understatement. 24 games played, 1 career point. Just imagine if the Kings had drafted Doughty AND Karlsson. Scary.

Post-Karlsson

Those six players comprise the list of defensemen drafted before Karlsson; as for the rest of the first round, here’s the quick breakdown.

Say what you want about Brian Burke, but his acquisition of Jake Gardiner (17) AND Joffrey Lupul from the Ducks for Francois Beauchemin looks more and more like highway robbery. After Gardiner, there's the underwhelming Luca Sbisa (19) and the more promising Michael Del Zotto (20) of the Rangers, a guy who struggled early on, but, like a Pietrangelo-light, was a big factor on a winning squad last season. 3 spots behind him, there’s a ‘where are they now’ post waiting to happen in Tyler Cuma (23), and to round out the first round, the Caps selected John Carlson with the 27th pick, who, until he accomplishes something greater, will always be known for this.

Which brings us back to Karlsson. While he may or may not end up being the best of the bunch in 2028, it’s fair to say that only Doughty or Pietrangelo could end up eclipsing him, and if only for the fact that they (for now) possess more complete, all-around games.

Remember, despite Karlsson’s impressive offensive stats, there’s still room to grow in terms of his abilities in his own end, and whether or not he does so will go a long way in terms of defining his lasting legacy.

For now, enjoy this compilation of all his goals and assists from his Norris Trophy season, and judge for yourself whether that year is liable to go down as a flash in the pan (albeit a very bright one), or if he’s far and away the best defenseman to come out of the 2008 Draft.

End note: It’s also very much worth mentioning that the 2nd round of the ’08 Draft featured a few guys who are poised to break out and make a mark of their own when NHL play resumes, namely Vyacheslav Voynov, Roman Josi, Justin Schultz & Travis Hamonic.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

What Does Minnesota Really Need?

Minnesota Wild

Mikael Granlund, the “Suomi Savior”

Minnesota was a team originally made up of castoffs from other NHL teams and had really only one player that could be considered a genuine super star, Marian Gaborik, the team's very first entry draft pick and the highest drafted player (3rd overall in 2000) in Wild history. Yet just a few years later, this team of castoffs and misfits managed to upset the mighty Colorado Avalanche (putting legendary netminder Patrick Roy into retirement in the process), the Vancouver Canucks and secure its first and only Western Conference Final playoff berth to date. Even though the Wild was then swept by the Mighty Ducks of Anaheim, Minnesota became a team that other NHL teams, players and coaches came to respect thereafter.

In the years since that miraculous run in 2002-03, the Wild have made the playoffs exactly twice, falling in the first round both times. Minnesota hasn't seen the postseason for the past four years and, during that time, the team has seen the departure of one general manager (He Who Shall Not Be Named), two head coaches (Jaques Lemaire and Todd Richards) and the biggest star the team has had to date'Gaborik.

Since the new GM'Chuck Fletcher'took over, the franchise has taken on a different look. Yes, the team's performance has been fairly mediocre the past few seasons, but Fletcher has made some very smart trades, signings and draft picks and our top prospect has gone from Colton Gillies (16th overall in '07) to Mikael Granlund (9th overall in '10), who is considered by many to be one of the best hockey players in the entire world to have yet to play in the NHL. In fact, GM Fletcher has drafted and developed arguably the best prospect pool in the National Hockey League.

After the previous regime swung and missed on four straight 1st round picks, Fletcher has added top-end blue chip talent in drafting Granlund, Jonas Brodin (10th overall in '11), Zack Phillips (28th overall in '11) and Mathew Dumba (7th overall in '12) and trading for Charlie Coyle (28th overall in '10 by San Jose). As great as his 1st round picks have been, Fletcher has hit towering homeruns in the 2nd round with picks like Brett Bulmer (#39 in '10), Johan Larsson (#56 in '10), Jason Zucker (#59 in '10), Mario Lucia (#60 in '11) and Raphael Bussieres (#46 in '12).

The Wild GM also has a knack for adding quality goaltenders in nearly each draft. In 2009, it was Matthew Hackett and big Darcy Kuemper; Kuemper would go on to be the WHL's top goaltender in '10-'11 and Hackett would backstop the Aeros to within two wins of the AHL Championship that same season. In 2010, it was Johan Gustafsson, the goaltender who would go on to lead Sweden to a 1-0 win in the 2012 WJC gold medal game. In 2011, it was Stephen Michalek who would go on to be the starter for Harvard in his freshman campaign. With such talent in the pipeline, it's easy to see why Fletcher chose not to draft a goalie in the 2012 draft.

Minnesota has the talented prospects needed to be quite dangerous in the league for years to come'but what about right now? Last season, Minnesota was on a roll and dominated the league with their defensive style and dominant goaltending. In fact, the Wild were playing so well, they were at the very top of the NHL standings for nearly a month before they were bit by the injury bug. Then Minnesota's season fell apart. Captain Mikko Koivu, Devin Setoguchi, Pierre-Marc Bouchard and Guillaume Latendresse all were out of the lineup for a good portion of the rest of the season. And, when you have four of your top six forwards out with injuries and half your team is made up of rookies and AHL call-ups, your production is bound to suffer.

The fact of the matter is that Minnesota did not have the depth they needed to succeed last year. The top prospects were playing in other leagues in other countries and weren't in the farm system where they could be called up as needed. As such, the players that were called up were more of the role-player/grinder mold. Thus, you would see very experimental line combinations of Dany Heatley-Kyle Brodziak-Nick Johnson for your top line and a third or fourth line made up entirely of career AHLers like Jed Ortmeyer, Jon DiSalvatore and Warren Peters.

Also, many writers and sports analysts critiqued the defensive corps as being too young and experienced. While partially true, this wasn't the main problem last year because the young Wild defense was one of the very best in the league for half the year until the injury bug hit. When four of your top six forwards are out of the lineup and half your team is made up of rookies and AHLers, the puck is in the defensive end a lot more than it should be. When that happens, the other team is able to take more shots and the more shots on net the more likely the puck is going to go in at some point.

Yes, the Wild became the first team in NHL history to miss the playoffs after leading the NHL into December; however, I do believe Chuck Fletcher made the moves needed to ensure his team doesn't do the same next season. The offseason has seen drastic changes for the Wild. Christiansen, Johnson, Latendresse, Lundin and Foster are out and Parise, Suter, Mitchell and Konopka are in with call-up depth also added in the signings of Dowell and Connelly. Best of all, the top prospects are ready! Granlund, Coyle, Phillips, Brodin, Bulmer, Larsson and Zucker are playing down in Houston and Tyler Cuma (#23 in '08) is also ready to make an impact with the big club. Top goaltending prospect, Hackett, saw some good time in the NHL last season with Backstrom and Harding injured and proved he is more than ready to play in the big leagues.

Parise will complete a very dangerous top line with Koivu and Heatley and Granlund is a lock for the second line center position. He'll most likely play with Devin Setoguchi and either Bouchard or Matt Cullen. That is a very dangerous top six, but wait'there are two more lines, right? You bet, in fact, the bottom six is where the success of this team may very well lie. I suspect Coach Yeo is very excited about the gritty bottom six he can put together. I would expect to see a very tough third line of Mitchell-Brodziak-Clutterbuck and a fourth line comprised of Powe, Konopka and either Veilleux, Kassian or Dowell. That is a very, very tough bottom six that is more than capable to protect the Wild's stars.

The defense also looks quite strong with a very solid core of Suter, Gilbert, Spurgeon, Scandella, Stoner, Prosser and Falk. You'll also have guys like Brodin, Kampfer, Cuma and Genoway looking to steal a permanent roster spot. However, the top pairing of the future for this franchise is sure to be made up of Brodin and 2012 1st round blue-chipper, Matt Dumba.

Let's take a quick look back at Fletcher's drafting. Yes, he's drafted elite offensive stars like Granlund and Phillips and has acquired a stud in Coyle, but the true test of his drafting prowess is in his second round picks. Every single one of them is a guy that can really be inserted at any spot in the roster and excel, though Lucia may be considered more of a sniper. Fletcher has also added great depth in the later rounds. John Draeger, Daniel Gunnarsson, Adam Gilmour and Nick Seeler could prove to be a couple of real steals by the Wild GM and 7th rounders, Erik Haula (2009) and Tyler Graovac (2011), are leading the way at the University of Minnesota and in the OHL, respectively. It's that part of Fletcher's drafting that builds depth in an organization and that is exactly what this team has never had outside of the term 'depth players'.

Minnesota is a team that many people have written off'and still do'but no longer. This team is bursting to the brim with elite offensive talent and great organizational depth. Chuck Fletcher has set this team up for long-term success and may have very well created a perennial powerhouse that could eventually rival the feats of such dynasties as the '80s Islanders and Oilers and maybe even the Detroit Redwings of today.

So, the logical answer to the title question of this article has become clear: the Wild need the lockout to end so the domination can begin. In the meantime, I would suggest to keep perusing such sites as THW, Hockey Wilderness and First Round Bust to help satisfy your Minnesota Wild hockey fix.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Roberto Luongo Trade Makes Sense For The Maple Leafs

 

 

Roberto Luongo

Given the expected growth in revenues, Roberto Luongo looks like a good fit for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
(davidgsteadman/Flickr)

Heading into the lockout Toronto Maple Leafs general manager Brian Burke was said to be considering acquiring Vancouver Canucks goaltender Roberto Luongo.

While there has been no confirmation from Burke or Canucks general manager Mike Gillis that the two sides have attempted to consummate a deal, Gillis has admitted there are several teams interested in the services of Luongo.

Looking at the current NHL landscape, the Maple Leafs, Chicago Blackhawks and Luongo's preferred destination of the Florida Panthers seem to be the three most likely landing points for Luongo's services.

Chicago would seem to be the most unlikely of teams to bid for Luongo as they already employ Corey Crawford between the pipes who, while not an all-star caliber netminder yet, is more than adequate given Chicago's strong offensive lineup.

Florida employs a combo of veterans Jose Theodore and Scott Clemmensen to man the pipes, both of whom may have already have played their best hockey already. With that in mind, the acquisition of Luongo makes sense on some level, and the fact that Roberto wants to play for the Panthers is undeniable.

In Toronto, Burke looks willing to start the season (if there is one) with James Reimer and Ben Scrivens between the pipes. Despite a clean bill of health this summer some experts still wonder if Reimer will have any lingering effects from his early season neck injury sustained via a collision with forward Brian Gionta versus the Montreal Canadiens in October of 2011-12.

On the flipside, Ben Scrivens had an excellent season with the Toronto Marlies of the AHL last season, leading his team to a Calder Cup Final and putting together some exceptional numbers along the way.

While Scrivens looks to have all the tools to be an NHL goaltender, his numbers have slipped early on in the 2012-13 season with the Marlies. Scrivens' early season struggles, combined with the very ordinary numbers he produced with the Maple Leafs last season, creates a measure of doubt as to whether or not he could get the job done, or at least they should.

Canucks GM Mike Gillis (CalvinChanPhoto/Flickr)

Two stumbling blocks look to be standing in the way of Burke acquiring Luongo. First, Gillis is said to be asking for a king's ransom in return for Luongo. Second, Luongo, 31, has 10-years remaining on his 12-year contract, which will carry a cap-hit of some $5,333,333 in each of the next ten seasons.

On the surface, Luongo's contract looks to be a tad inflated. While there is nothing Burke can do about the term, there is reason to believe that Luongo's cap hit could soften over time with increased revenues and a subsequent increase in the salary cap.

As it stands right now, the NHL and NHLPA are fighting over a number of issues. The most important one, and the one that is causing most of the bad blood between the two sides, is how to get to a 50-50 split of Hockey Related Revenues.

Tuesday, Joe Thistel and Boomer Gordon of XM radio's 'The Point', discussed the merits of Boomer Gordon's very own CBA proposal.

In it, Boomer, a trusted NHL personality, detailed both sides of the ledger, explaining in detail what was at stake for both sides and how they could get to the magical 50-50 split the NHL and NHLPA seem destined to reach.

While there is not enough time to detail the entire proposal, a few things stood out which may help Burke make up his mind on Luongo.

Boomer's proposal was based on an eight-year CBA which indeed would see the NHL and NHLPA achieve a 50-50 split.

One of the key observations was that the NHL (Owners) estimated revenue growth to be around five percent for the coming years. The NHLPA (Players) feel revenue will grow as much as 7.1 percent.

Boomer's proposal used a six percent increase as a median and detailed what the expectation of revenue growth would be over the next eight years using the current level of $3.3 billion as a baseline.

When everything is said and done the NHLPA and NHL are looking at somewhere in the neighborhood of $34-$37 billion in revenues coming in over that eight-year period.

At a six percent revenue growth rate the NHL stands to bring in around $3.501 billion in revenues if an 82-game season was played this year (year one of the contract).

Under the terms of a 50-50 split, this would mean players and owners would each bring in about $1.75 billion in revenues.

Over the eight years of the agreement, with that same six percent rate of revenue growth, revenue would increase to $5.264 billion dollars, which would likely equate to $2.632 billion for each side based on a 50-50 split.

Based on a 30-team NHL, this would equate to approximately a cap ceiling of $87.73 million for each team. What the cap floor would equate to is anyone's guess, but $87.73 million is a substantial cap ceiling for any NHL club, even if it did take eight years to get there.

If we used the players estimate of 7.1 percent growth over the eight year term of the deal total revenue would hit $5.718 billion, which would equate to a $98.1 million cap ceiling. But I digress; let's stick with the six percent!

If these numbers stand up, the average NHL salary would be approximately $3.65 million, which would be a huge raise by today's standards.

When you put an average salary of $3.65 million up against Luongo's $5,333,333 cap hit, it makes Luongo's deal look like a bargain, or at least very reasonable.

The numbers look even better when you consider that Luongo's salary actually decreases over the span of the ten years that remain on his ten-year deal. In 2012-13 through 2017-18 Luongo's salary is set at $6.714 million. In 2018-19 that number drops to $3.382 million, $1.618 million in 2019-20, and $1 million in the 2020-21 and 2021-22 seasons, respectively.

Of course, under Boomer's proposal (which was exceptional by the way), there would be concessions on both sides, including taking the year-one salary cap down to $66.0 million from its current $70.2 million level. But, over time, it is very clear that the players and owners will both be winners financially.

Consider that the 2012-13 seasons' salary cap was set to be $70.2 million. Again, over that eight year span the cap would rise to a handsome $87.73 million, an increase of just over $17.5 million per team.

By no means would this mean every NHL franchise would be profitable, but it would help create a business model that every NHL franchise could work with.

None of this takes into account any of the other issues such as term of contracts, the 'cap floor', entry level deals, making 'whole' on the players current contracts, minimum salaries (which need to go up), revenue sharing (which is a must) and the like. That said, as the saying goes, 'money makes the World go 'round', and if the NHL and NHLPA could get anywhere near $5.264 billion in revenue over the next eight years it would appear as if there will be enough money for both sides to co-exist in a fair and equitable manner.

Given the modest revenue growth numbers of six percent per year, getting to that $5.264 billion in HRR over the next eight years looks like a real possibility. That's good news for the owners, players and fans alike!

This would also mean that Luongo's deal was nothing short of affordable, especially for a team like the Maple Leafs that are capable of spending right up to the cap limit.

With a 50-50 split and an agreed upon six percent increase in revenue in each of the next eight years, Luongo's gaudy contract suddenly no longer looks like a deal breaker.

brian burke

Brian Burke needs Luongo
(Rick Osentoski-US PRESSWIRE)

In my mind all that remains is for Burke to pick up the phone and find out which combination of players and/or prospects Gillis wants and this deal should be as good as done.

It makes sense on so many levels. With Luongo in toe the Maple Leafs immediately go from also-rans to playoff contender. While Luongo has had his fair share of playoff struggles, his overall resume (personal awards, Olympic Gold Medal, career goals against average and save percentage, etc.) is as impressive as any goaltender out there.

Luongo would bring a measure of confidence to potential free agents to sign with the Maple Leafs, something the Leafs lack at this point and time. This could serve Burke well when he looks to augment his current roster over the next few seasons and continues down the road of building a Stanley Cup contender in Toronto (insert the haters' laughter here).

Go ahead Burkie, make the call. It looks like the numbers will work themselves out!

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Cory Conacher Continues to Impress in AHL

Cory Conacher suiting up for the Norfolk Admirals last season (Michael Gwizdala/THW)

Lightning prospect Cory Conacher is making his case to be in Tampa Bay when the lockout is over. Conacher, a 5’8' forward, continues to impress for the Syracuse Crunch of the AHL. He is third in the entire league in points with five goals and six assists for 11 points in just seven games. He only trails Justin Schultz of the Oklahoma City Barons and Alexandre Bolduc of the Portland Pirates.

The Burlington, Ontario native is currently 22 years old and seems to really be maturing as a player. He spent four years at Canisius College in Buffalo, New York, compiling 62 goals over those four years, including two 20+ goal seasons. Conacher was undrafted after his four years at Canisius, but was signed to amateur tryout contacts with the Rochester Americans, Cincinnati Cyclones, and the Milwaukee Admirals. After spending time with all three of those teams during the 2010-11 season, Conacher was signed by the Lightning and suited up for the Norfolk Admirals during the 2011-12 season. It was during this season that Conacher estalished himself as one of the top prospects in the Lightning organization. He posted 39 goals and 41 assists for 80 points and a plus 19 rating in his first full AHL season.

After the 2011-12 season the Anaheim Ducks and the Lightning swapped AHL affiliates which meant that Conacher and his teammates would find a new home playing for the Crunch this season. It seems to be working out just fine for Conacher. Conacher’s team success is coming along with his individual success. The Crunch currently sit in fourth place in the Eastern Conference with a 4-1-1-1 record. Conacher is getting help from other top prospects in the Lightning organization, including Tyler Johnson and Brett Connolly, who are each averaging at least a point per game so far this season.

Conacher is often criticized for his size, only being 5’8' and 175 lbs. However, he has proven people wrong, excelling at every level that he’s played at thus far. Not only does he use his dynamic speed to his advantage, but he is strong on the puck and gritty, registering 114 penalty minutes last season, showing that he won’t back down from anyone.

Tampa Bay definitely has this kid on their radar for the next NHL season. They’ll have to make room for him because, with the way this kid is playing, he definitely deserves a shot at the next level.

 

Follow me on Twitter: @Matt_Metcalf

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Selasa, 30 Oktober 2012

Ben Scrivens Struggling: Should Brian Burke Be Worried?

Ben Scrivens contract

Ben Scrivens is struggling with the Marlies this season, but it is early.
(Kevin Hoffman-US PRESSWIRE)

While the 2012-13 NHL season still resembles something of a pipe dream, Toronto Maple Leafs general manager Brian Burke has to be nervous about the proposition of starting the next season with James Reimer and Ben Scrivens between the pipes.

Reimer's injury struggles are well documented, and while Reimer has given the Maple Leafs every indication that he will be ready to go if and when the puck is dropped, there is still an underlining concern that his injuries may continue to hinder his career.

Scrivens posted some excellent numbers at the AHL level last season, leading the Toronto Marlies to a Calder Cup final and sending a message to the big club that he was ready to contend for the number one job with the Maple Leafs.

Through 39 games with the Marlies, Scrivens posted a 22-15-1 record to go along with a tidy 2.04 goals against average and an impressive 0.926 save percentage.

Scrivens followed his regular season performance up with an excellent playoff performance, posting a 11-6 record, 1.92 GAA and 0.935 SV%.

Heading into the 2012-13 season Scrivens was supposed to be Burke's plan 'B' should Reimer succumb to injuries or falter between the pipes as he did in 2011-12.

While it is still very early in the AHL schedule, Scrivens has struggled to find his game, posting a 2-2 record, 2.73 GAA and a paltry 0.896 SV%.

On the surface, Scrivens' numbers can be excused as simply a bad run, but what if his numbers persist, what will Burke's plan 'B' be then?

While Scrivens was impressive with the Marlies last season he was nothing short of average with the Maple Leafs last season. Through 12 games with the big club Scrivens posted a 4-5-2 record, 3.13 GAA and a 0.903 SV%.

Clearly, while Scrivens does bring an impressive resume to the table, he has plenty of room to grow before anyone is willing to call him a legitimate NHL goaltender. Getting it 'done' for one season with the Marlies is something to build on, but it should not negate the fact that Burke should be looking at other options when it comes to his netminding.

scores against Luongo

Roberto Luongo (Icon SMI)

Numerous reports had Vancouver Canucks goaltender Roberto Luongo heading to the Maple Leafs if and when a new CBA was negotiated. Luongo's presence would almost certainly make the blue and white a playoff contender and put to rest any concerns Burke may have regarding his goaltending.

Those reports were recently shot down and Luongo has not come out and said he was coming to Toronto, still there is hope that Burke could get a deal done.

Standing in the way of acquiring Luongo is the fact the Canucks general manager Mike Gillis is said to be asking for a kings ransom in return for Luongo and the fact that Luongo has ten years at a cap hit of $5,333,333 per season remaining on his contract.

While Scrivens' struggles are not the end of the world they may be enough for Burke to re-evaluate his position of starting the season with Reimer and Scrivens between the pipes, which is not a bad thing.

Burke’s third option between the pipes may very well be Jussi Rynnas. Rynnas, who served as Scrivens' backup for most of the 2011-12 season with the Marlies, posted an 11-9-1 record through 22 games with a 2.55 GAA and a 0.910 SV%.

This season, through two games with the Marlies, Rynnas has one win and one shootout loss, allowing just three goals and earning one shutout. Rynnas owns a sparkling 1.44 GAA and an excellent 0.952 save percentage' but it is still very early.

In the end, Scrivens should revert to last years numbers, but Burke may very well be on pins and needles until such time as Scrivens returns to form.

As a team, the Marlies own a 3-2-1-1 record. Forward Keith Aucoin has been impressive with six assists on the season, while Jake Gardiner has been the Marlies best defenseman with three goals and two assists.

Other standouts have been Greg McKegg, who is fitting in nicely down the middle, while Carter Ashton is getting props for his inspired play along the boards and willingness to hit everything that moves and get to the tough areas of the ice.

Leo Komarov (who wears Sidney Crosby's number 87) has also been impressive, shutting down opposing forwards with his gritty play and posting three points and a plus +3 rating thus far.

Nazem Kadri continues to grow his game, but thus far has been short of spectacular with three assists on the season.

Like many teams, success starts between the pipes. For Burke's sake, let's hope Scrivens finds his game.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Did NHL Owners Negotiate In Good Faith?

The NHL Owners came under attack when Minnesota Wild defenseman Ryan Suter let his displeasure over potential rollbacks be known.
(takenbygabi @ flickr)

Friday, in an interview with ESPN, Minnesota Wild defenseman Ryan Suter went public with his displeasure of what he feels were unfair business practices by Minnesota Wild owner Craig Leipold.

Suter is upset at the prospect of losing some of the $98 million in salary he is supposed to get over the 13-years of his contract due to potential salary rollbacks that may come with any new CBA.

'If you can’t afford to (sign contracts) then you shouldn’t do it,” Suter told ESPN on Friday. “(Leipold) signed us to contracts. At the time he said everything was fine. Yeah, it’s disappointing. A couple months before, everything is fine, and now they want to take money out of our contracts that we already signed.'

While it is hard to sympathize with anyone that just collected $10 million in bonuses from his employer, Suter's point is valid.

That said, if Suter expects us to believe that a potential rollback on salaries was not part of the conversation when he and his agent Neil Sheehy sat down to discuss Suter's deal with the Wild we're not buying it, not for a second. And, if Suter and Sheehy didn't discuss a possible rollback Suter should fire his agent in disgust for his act of stupidity!

Given Suter's comments it appears as if he and his agent may not have considered rollbacks, but with the precedent being set in the last CBA negotiations, if that is the case, he and his agent were foolish.

In a perfect world Suter and Sheehy would have accounted for some type of rollback, holding out for a little bit more money in order to off-set any losses. Whether they did that or not is between Suter, Sheehy and God, but if I was a betting man I would think they would have thought about rollbacks as being a real possibility and acted accordingly.

Of course, there is the question of integrity. Owners and players seemingly sign deals in good faith (well, most of them do anyways) and to ask the players that recently (or otherwise) signed multi-year/high dollar deals to accept anything less than what they signed for seems like dirty pool.

Ryan Suter (Flickr/bridgetds)

'It’s disappointing that the owners, they sign all these guys and some guys were signed within the last week before the CBA was up.” Suter told ESPN. Now, they’re (owners) trying to go back on their word. It’s frustrating, disappointing. It doesn’t seem like that’s the way you operate a relationship or business.”

Morals aside, the owners are completely within their rights to fight for every penny, as are the players. To suggest that either side is not attempting to exploit the other for every penny possible would be foolish and ignorant.

The bottom line is both the owners and players are in a 15-round boxing match and as the match goes on there is bound to be bloodshed on both sides of the financial ledger. It's inevitable.

While Suter's comments will get some support, they are a tad premature. First, there is no guarantee that the owners will secure a rollback on current salaries. Second, coming out and stabbing your owner in the back is not the best way to start a relationship with a team you just signed with.

Besides, the owners are a group, and there is zero evidence that Leipold is for or against the idea of rollbacks. Ok, he probably is supporting a rollback! But if the shoe was on the other foot, would the players do the same? Darn right they would! They would, and are, fighting for every penny, and who can blame them?

You cannot hate on the owners when as many as 20 teams are losing money. Sure, as one reader recently pointed out, the owners can use those loses as tax benefits, but if this was such a profitable venture (losing money) why would the owners be looking to operate in the black? Why not keep things just the way they are if it is so appealing to operate in the red?

Obviously, those tax breaks ain't what some people believe them to be. In the end the owners will fight for what is best for them, and they have spoken loud and clear that operating in the black is where they want to be.

For his part, Leipold did not respond to Suter's comments. This hardly comes as a shock as the NHL has put a gag order on all owners and general managers regarding the CBA with fines of up to $1 million keeping the group's lips duct taped. For better or worse, the owners do not have an individual voice, at least not in public.

Many believe that NHL commissioner Gary Bettman is in control of the owners, orchestrating the entire CBA process. Perhaps Suter's venom should be aimed at Bettman, forgoing the personal attack on Leipold?

Not to overstate the obvious, but the NHL is in deep trouble. Without significant revenue sharing the NHL’s financial issues will continue to perpetuate themselves. The owners and players must work together to strengthen the league as a whole. If they fail to do this there is a real danger that the NHL will be in more trouble as time goes by.

The following is an excerpt from Kurt Badenhausen of Forbes Magazine. Forbes tracks the business of hockey, and more specifically, which teams are actually operating in the black and which ones are losing money. It’s a real eyeopener as to what is at stake here and why the owners are fighting as hard as they are for wholesale changes to the way players are compensated and to what level players are compensated.

'The NHL's problem is the widespread disparity in profits for its 30 teams. We (Forbes) estimated that 18 teams lost money during the 2010-11 season in our annual look at the business of hockey. Several other teams barely eked out a profit, but the league's most flush teams made a killing. The Toronto Maple Leafs, New York Rangers and Montreal Canadiens had an operating profit (in the sense of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) of $171 million combined. The other 27 NHL teams lost a collective $44 million. If you add the Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers to the fat cats ledger, profits hit $212 million with the remaining 25 teams posting a loss of $86 million.”

18 teams losing money? How is that possible with the NHL reporting record revenues? Clearly, those revenues only profited a few teams, while the rest are forced to incur huge losses. If you were an owner would you continue to support the current system? I think not. And, if you were a player, would you not be willing to take less in order to have a strong 30-team league? In the long run would that not benefit everyone?

(Toronto Maple Leafs Hockey Club)

'The NHL is not in dire financial straits as it was in 2004 when a lockout caused the cancellation of an entire season. It does need the top teams to share more of the wealth if it wants to be healthier financially. The league currently shares about $150 million of its revenue and the league has proposed bumping that up to $190 million. The players association is looking for revenue sharing closer to $250 million. We know why the Maple Leafs, Rangers and Canadiens do not want that much revenue sharing. What about the other 27 teams?'

While unlikely to ever happen, maybe it is time for the NHL to be operated as one entity with 30 subdivisions? Is the success of many not worth hurting the few that profits millions?

At the end of the day the owners and players are going to have to get along and both sides are going to have to find a way to make the league (on the whole) profitable. It is sad to see that the two sides are at odds instead of sitting down and trying to hammer out a fair and equitable deal that makes sense for both sides as a team.

Maybe the two sides get a deal done through mediation, maybe they get it done as a team. As long as they get a new CBA signed the fans really could care less and if a few toes have to get crushed along the way (Ryan Suter's or otherwise) so be it.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Point Shots: Craig Button on Scouting and Fantasy Hockey

The NHL lockout has not completely shut out fantasy hockey. Many dedicated fantasy hockey players are taking this opportunity to shore up their fantasy prospect scouting by watching AHL, CHL, and college hockey. The hopes are that this extra research will allow them to find the next great sleeper pick that is not in all the magazines. Perhaps they will earn the respect and admiration of their peers by taking advantage of some poor, lesser informed counterpart.

In looking for prospects that will have an impact on your fantasy hockey roster what are the most important factors to consider?

I posed that exact question to former NHL General Manager, and current TSN Scout and NHLNET Analyst Craig Button. 'In looking for prospects you want to contribute to your fantasy team, you better look at the team he is playing on and see what type of opportunity he has.'

Indeed you may have an opportunity to draft player A or B who may be of similar skill set, but the deciding factor in their fantasy impact may very well be the opportunity they have, or the role they will play. 'A great example is Edmonton.' Button explained, 'They drafted Hall, Eberle, and Nugent-Hopkins, and they were going to push these kids along in the NHL at 18 years old, mistakes and all. Those are the ones you gotta pick'.

Taylor Hall was selected first overall in his draft year and the second selection was Tyler Seguin who was selected by the Boston Bruins. The Taylor vs. Tyler draft will forever link these two players' careers, and for those fantasy owners who had the first overall pick in that draft had the same dilemma.  While their overall career totals are yet to be determined, Hall has outscored Seguin to date by a point per game rate comparison of 0.75 to 0.57, or 95 points to 89. Arguably this is because to Button's point, Hall has had the larger role so far, or the 'better opportunity'

 

'If you picked Tyler Seguin who went to a very good team in the Boston Bruins, it's not that he's not going to be a great player, he's just not going to have the same opportunity' Button said. 'If you are looking for a fantasy player who is going to have a big opportunity and make a fantasy impact, pick Justin Schultz'

Justin Schultz (David Stluka/Icon SMI)

Justin Schultz was one of this summers prized free agent signings, and was signed by the Edmonton Oilers. The Oilers add Schultz to their impressive crop of highly talented young guns and he has the glorious opportunity to run the power play on what could be a potentially lethal Oilers team. He has the opportunity, and after 7 games in the AHL, he has shown he has pro skills, leading the entire league in scoring with 12 points as a rookie defenseman with the Oklahoma City Barons. Schultz is Buttons pick to be the next NHL rookie of the year.

Another astute strategy to look at is highly touted players who may have had an off year and seen their stock drop. Players do not receive serious media attention while in junior, and get drafted by NHL scouts and teams for no reason.  There will be players who will be exceptional, but who have a setback year. Do not give up on them. In fact, seek them out if you can acquire them at a discounted rate.

Brandon Saad

(OHL Images)

'Brandon Saad is a perfect example of a player who heading into his draft was very highly touted, and for whatever reason didn't have a very good year.' Button pointed out. As a result, he slipped in the rankings and everyone overlooked him. 'Everybody did it, scouts and all the experts, and the Hawks ended up getting a hell of a player'. Once the NHL returns, Saad may find himself with the glorious opportunity of playing a top six role in Chicago alongside Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp, or Marian Hossa.

Magnus Paajarvi Oilers

(Icon SMI)

Patience is a virtue when dealing with young prospects. 'There is so much hype that comes with young players, but they all progress at different rates' explains Button.  After a disastrous season in which Magnus Paajarvi only managed to score 8 points, many fantasy owners unloaded him from their roster. 'Just because Paajarvi hasn't taken the league by storm doesn't mean he won't.' Button said. 'It just means it might take him a little bit longer. Remember, Peter Forsberg didn't enter the NHL until he was 21, and Teemu Selanne was 22. Now everybody is saying Paajarvi who is 20 isn't going to make it. He is going to make it. Just have to give him more time.' Button explained. 'Everybody goes at different rates. If you want to write off players at 20 years old, do so at your own peril.' Cautioned Button.

 

The NHL may be locked out, but hockey is not. These young prospects are playing and developing and this is your opportunity to get a leg up in your fantasy league. Keep a close on players in the CHL such as Dougie Hamilton, Jonathon Drouin, Seth Griffith, and Morgan Rielly. AHL players to keep an eye on include Magnus Paajarvi, Ninno Niederreiter, Nazem Kadri, and Jakob Silfverberg who Button calls 'the real deal' and he thinks he has the caliber to be everything to the Ottawa Senators that Daniel Alfredsson has been as a player.

 

There is great hockey available to watch. It is entertaining, and it can help you win in your fantasy league when the lock out finally ends.  While factors like opportunity and patience are important, the best advantage you can provide yourself is to watch as much hockey as possible and scout for yourself.

 

 

 

 

 

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Donald Fehr: Work Stoppage Warrior

Donald Fehr was associated with the “Steroids Era” in Major League Baseball. (Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-US PRESSWIRE)

Donald Fehr may be one of the most controversial individuals in North America. He is at the core of the 2012 NHL lockout. As the Executive Director of the NHLPA, Fehr is one of a few key people responsible for there being no NHL season to date. While there was a glimmer of hope a few weeks ago when the owners and NHLPA swapped proposals, Fehr squashed these dreams with his counter-proposals.

The question remains, who is Donald Fehr? What is his motivation during this 2012 lockout?

Fehr is an individual who has some unbelievable statistics associated with his name. He is the only Executive Director to be involved in two work stoppages in two major North American sports. Before his retirement in 2009 as Executive Director of the MLBPA, Fehr headed five consecutive work stoppages in baseball. Six of the eight contract negotiations he has been associated with have resulted in work stoppages.

Surely Fehr has the best interest of the NHL players in mind. However, the players should realize Fehr does not have the best interest of their league in mind. Fehr may get the players what they want, but if they continue to take a stubborn stance on issues and let Fehr manipulate their thoughts, the game of hockey may be ruined years down the road.

The NHLPA had a spectacular deal before their CBA ended back in September. The time for a change has come. If there is going to be a 2012-2013 NHL season, the players are not going to win this negotiating battle, nor should they.

Think of this way….If two sides have equal importance in how a business operates why would one side (the owners) want to let the other side (NHLPA) take 57% of the profit. Both sides are equally needed for the NHL product, as a whole, to be successful. This is why the hockey related revenue should be split 50/50 with no hidden fees. In Proposal III, Fehr claimed there would be a 50/50 split, but this was untrue. There were those hidden fees.

Alex Rodriguez

Admitted steroid user, Alex Rodriguez, has some of the greatest hitting statistics in MLB history.(Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports)

As he has proven through MLB, Fehr is willing to take whatever measures possible for the players’ union despite what his decisions may do to the state of the NHL. Fehr has been toying with the owners and the emotions of NHL fans by making verbal proposals and refusing to schedule meaningful meetings to resolve this dispute. Fehr is not taking these issues seriously until he gets exactly what he wants.

In 1994-95, Fehr was at the head of nearly an eight month strike by the MLBPA which resulted in the cancelling of the World Series for the first time in ninety years. This agreement was finally resolved by a third party.

Fehr was also at the core of the 'Steroids Era' in MLB. He knew exactly what was going on behind closed doors. Fehr would not admit to their existence or even use the word “steroids,” as stated in a Tom Verducci article on SI.com. This 2009 article goes on to say that Fehr knew about steroids in MLB but failed to address the issue until he had no choice.

“Of course he knew what was going on. As I reported with Joe Torre in “The Yankee Years,” Rick Helling, a union executive board member, told Fehr as far back as 1998, and in each subsequent year, he had a huge steroid problem on his hands. By 2000, baseball sources were estimating in print that anywhere from 30 to 40 percent of the players, and most of the best players, were using steroids.”

Donald Fehr does not care what happens to the state of the league in the future as long as he gets every last penny for the players. Look at MLB, is this how you want the NHL to appear in a few years? Despite his knowledge, Fehr failed to bring up steroids in baseball because these freakish home run hitters were creating outrageously rich contracts for one another based on inflated (steroid-induced) statistics.

An article written by Sean Gentille of the Sporting News exposes what some believe to be Fehr’s true motivation in this lockout. He wants to get rid of the NHL salary cap.

“The NHLPA’s executive director, in a meeting with the Toronto Star’s editorial board, says the longer the work stoppage lasts, the more apt the union is to push for the revocation of the salary cap. 'If this goes on for an extended period of time, I don't know what (the players) are going to do. But I think it's safe to say, they would be exploring all options,' said Fehr.”

With this being said, the NHLPA and Fehr do not look to be in any hurry to come to a resolution. If the NHLPA, as claimed by Fehr, wants this drama to end quickly, then why hasn’t Fehr “crunched the numbers” or written up formal proposals?

Wrigley Field, Decked Out for the Winter Classic. MLB on Ice?

Donald Fehr better not ruin the NHL or turn the league into anything like MLB. He was the ring leader of the MLBPA which will be forever linked to the “Steroids Era” in baseball. An era which paints MLB with a black eye from which the league will never recover. From steady procrastination, Fehr looks like he is playing everyone for a fool until the time is right to make a deal which would yank the salary cap.

If Fehr attempts to remove the salary cap from hockey, the NHL is never going to see small market teams competing in a league that is full of parity. The large market teams will go on ridiculous spending sprees and ruin the rest of the league. The small market teams would be doomed and we would be watching MLB on ice.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Phoenix Coyotes Sale Near Completion According to Councilwoman

Greg Jamison talks in Glendale about the state of the Phoenix Coyotes sale (Matt Kartozian-US PRESSWIRE)

Glendale council member Joyce Clark chatted with local Arizona sports talk radio station, The Fan 1060 late last week. Speaking about the progress of the Phoenix Coyotes sale and the on-going negotiations between the city and prospective ownership group led by Greg Jamison, Councilwoman Clark says a deal that would push the sale along is in it’s final stages of completion and could be placed on the Council’s itinerary for a vote as soon as mid November.

An ideal for departure

This comes as good news to Coyotes fans as they have not heard much about the sale since early October. Most recently, Glendale Mayor Elaine Scruggs stepped forward to voice her case on seeing the struggling team leave Glendale for good. Scruggs, who was in favor of Matthew Hulsizer’s bid to purchase the Coyotes, has flipped flopped on her stance pertaining to the hockey team. The previous deal between Hulsizer and Glendale called for 75 million dollars in bonds from the city for the sale to be completed (Jamison’s deal does not include any sort of bonds). After having the sale disrupted by watchdog group, the Goldwater Institution, Hulsizer would go on to pull his bid from the Phoenix franchise and turn his attention to the St. Louis blues.

Reworked terms

Having reworked the Arena Lease Agreement, Greg Jamison and Interim City Manager Horatio Skeete came to terms that would see the first year payment drop from $17 million to $11 million, with each year following would see the dollar amounts dropped from their original payments. The newest term in the reworked lease agreement is the one time additional 5-year lease renewal option. More detailed information about the lease agreement here.

Contact the Author Twitter: @edmchvz – Email: edm.chvz@gmail.com 

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Albany Devils October In Review

There was excitement abound as the Albany Devils began their 2012-13 AHL campaign.  Like most other AHL clubs, the Devils were recipients of some lockout laden NHL talent.  Players such as Adam Henrique, Adam Larsson, Jacob Josefson, Mattias Tedenby and Bobby Butler graced the ice for Albany.  Despite those additions, the Devils are still encountering a feeling out process of sorts, one month into the season.

Jacob Josefson - Devils

Jacob Josefson (Icon SMI)

Through the season’s first month, Albany stands at 2-4-0-0 (4 points).  Their two wins came against teams that did not qualify for the postseason last year (Worcester Sharks and Adirondack Phantoms).  Conversely all four of their losses came at the hands of playoff teams from a year ago (Manchester Monarchs, Syracuse Crunch, Connecticut Whale and Hershey Bears).

The good: Starting strong has been a theme for the Devils.  Before getting halted by Braden Holtby and the Bears, Albany took the lead first in the first period of their first four contests.  Overall, the Devils have outscored opponents 8-to-5 in the first frame.  Another plus of sorts for Albany, as the lockout lingers on, there has been an uptick in attendance numbers.  Through four home contests, Albany has an average attendance of 3,456, or higher than Oklahoma City, Binghamton and Springfield.  That with only having one Saturday game in a weekend driven league for attendance.

The bad: The latter two periods and finishing strong.  Lack of adjustments, coupled with problems on special teams, amount to being outscored 11-6 in the final two frames.  Three is the key, in the Devils two wins they have netted at least three goals or more, in their four losses they have not.

The ugly: Call it a lack of chemistry or blame it on injuries to defencemen Eric Gelinas and Alexander Urbom but special teams have been a veritable bugaboo for the Devils.  Albany currently ranks 28th in the AHL in power play proficiency, converting on just 2 of 21 opportunities for a 9.5 per cent success rate.  Those 21 attempts across six games, are a league low as well.  On the penalty kill, Albany has made some strides and sits in the middle of the pack, ranking 16th in the AHL.  The Devils penalty killing percentage stands at 80.0 per cent and opposing teams are 6-for-30 against the Devils penalty kill, while Albany has one shorthanded goal on the season.

Plus: Pacing the club thus far is Josefson.  Josefson leads Albany in virtually all major offensive categories.  On the year, Josefson has four goals, putting him in the top-12 in markers for the AHL.  Josefson’s six points and plus six rating lead the club, as do his one power play goal and shorthanded tally, along with 14 shots on goal.

Matt Anderson, who was an AHL All-Star for Albany two years ago, is having a nice bounce back season in the early going.  Anderson has five points in six games and is tied with Josefson for the team lead in plus/minus and shots on goal.

As for other Devils making an impact on the positive side of things, Larsson is third on the team with four points (all assists).  Mike Hoeffel has been a pleasant surprise with two goals and an assist in the early going.  Tim Sestito has three helpers.  While he hasn’t quite lit it up (which could be attributed to the line(s) he plays on), Henrique has two goals thus far.

Minus: Chalk it up to getting used to new teammates with Butler and early injuries with Steve Zalewski but the two who are being counted on for boosting scoring on this squad, have combined for two assists and a minus seven rating.  Additionally, on the blue line, veterans Matthew Corrente and Jay Leach, along with second year pro Brandon Burlon, have zero points combined.  The Devils goaltending duo of Jeff Frazee and Keith Kinkaid has warded off a potential call-up of Scott Wedgewood thus far.  It can be tough to gauge the netminders at times, they haven’t been lights out but they also haven’t been given a lot of support from the scoring department.

Looking ahead: The Albany Devils have eleven games on the docket for November.  They’ll play five at home, five away and one “home” game at Atlantic City (assuming Boardwalk Hall is put back together following Hurricane Sandy by then).  If one were to try to predict how the Devils will fare in November, eight of their eleven contests are against teams that qualified for the Calder Cup playoffs in 2011-12.  Seeing as how the NHL has canceled all games through November, this should provide the Devils an ample amount of time to find that chemistry and begin to click.

Albany begins its November campaign at home on Friday November 2, as they host the Connecticut Whale (New York Rangers) at the Times Union Center.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.

Senin, 29 Oktober 2012

Red Wings Off Season: I Give Them an A

 

 

Jiri Hudler Red Wings

(Icon SMI)

Many adjectives have been used to describe the Detroit Red Wings off-season disastrous, disappointing, sub-par  unproductive, ineffective, fruitless ' the list can go on and on. For such a storied franchise that always seems to be the talk of the NHL in terms of getting it right they seemed to have done a 180 and been painted by many commentators in the hockey world as one of the losers  this past off season. Writers and bloggers have proclaimed doom and gloom for the upcoming season (lockout pending); however I have a different outlook. Disappointing? Ineffective? I say smart, competitive and overall a success!

“[T]he Wings clearly regressed over the summer. Their 21-year playoff streak is in jeopardy. GRADE: D”

Read more: Western Conference Grades

If I listen closely enough I can almost hear the 'Oh come on' you most likely scoffed ' but hear me out. The main argument people use when sentencing the Wings off season is that they did not land a big fish free agent like Ryan Suter or Zach Parise. While many see this as defeat it should be recognized as a blessing in disguise. Both players signed astronomical contracts that would financially inhibit a team for years to come. Their identical 13 year 98 million dollar contracts will have annual cap hits of 7.5 million. While I admit I was happy to hear the Wings brass did heavily court Suter and Parise during the off season I think a retrospective look by their office would tend to agree that it is better that they weren’t able to close the deal. I think we all can agree that this year's free agent crop was thin at best, and just like basic economics teaches us when supply is low the prices go up ' or skyrocket as was the case for free agents this off season. Just look at the contract the Vancouver Canucks gave Jason Garrison, six years $27.6 million. Is it worth it? Are they worth it?  The Wings were ultimately successful by failing to sign two overpriced free agents. Yes, they are elite talents in the NHL but they are also overpaid talent with long contracts attached to them.

Quoted from Mlive:

“A Red Wings’ contingent that included owner Mike Ilitch, general manager Ken Holland and advisor Chris Chelios flew to Madison Tuesday on Ilitch’s private plane to make a pitch to Suter in person.”

 

On top of dodging a bullet with the big name free agents, the Red Wings were also successful in signing many key free agents. They may not have garnered the attention or contracts of Suter or Parise but what they do offer is a solid competitive line-up. Let's take a look at each one individually:

 

(Luc Leclerc-US PRESSWIRE

Mikael Samuelsson

Samuelsson is no stranger to Red Wings fans having played in Detroit for four seasons and amassing 159 points in 278 games (67G, 92A). From 2009 to 2012 Samuelsson split time between Vancouver and Florida playing in 203 games and scoring 62 goals and adding 72 assists for a total of 134 points.

What stands out to me about Samuelsson is that he is a right handed shot, something the Red Wings don't have too many of. He also has decent size (6 foot 2, 218lbs) so he is harder to knock off the puck. Samuelsson's best quality for the Wings is his love of shooting the puck. If you don't put pucks on net you will not score plain and simple. I know it is a cliché but it is true. In the past many Wings players are guilty of passing the puck rather than shooting it on net. I believe Samuelsson will help to balance this and the end result will be more goals for the Wings.

 

Jordin Tootoo

Jordin Tootoo was not signed specifically for offensive production however he does bring a little with him. The reason the Wings signed him is for his physical presence and his ability to agitate opponents and keep the so called flies off the star players. Tootoo's physicality and ability to fight will allow a player like Bertuzzi to focus on playing the game rather than standing up for teammates. At

Jordin Tootoo

(Icon SMI)

age 37 Bertuzzi's energy would be better spent on offense rather than fist to cuffs. Other teams will think twice about abusing the Wings stars like Datsyuk and Zetterberg because Tootoo will be ready and willing to make them pay.

The Wings like toughness but they do not like to sacrifice skill for physicality. Detroit always wants every player to be able to contribute offensively. Tootoo comes from a defence first team in Nashville where he played 77 games in 2011/12. Tootoo contributed 6 goals and 24 assists for a total of 30 points. No doubt Tootoo will have to get accustomed to the Wings puck possession style of play, but once he does I can see his offensive numbers increasing. However if Tootoo brings a physical edge to the wings and can chip in 30-40 points a season he would be well worth the $1.9M cap hit.

 

(bridgetds/Flickr)Carlo Colaiacovo

 Carlo Colaiacovo

No one can deny the Wings defence is going to look drastically different this year without 'the perfect human' donning the number 5 jersey on the backend. Carlo Colaiacovo will not replace Lidstrom nor is he expected too. A player of Lidstrom's caliber is a rarity and the Wings management know that as well as anyone. Wings fans should not look at his signing that way because the moment they do people will want him benched or traded. Colaiacovo was brought in for leadership, experience, and insurance. The Wings defensive crop is much younger with the loss of Lidstrom and Stuart; however there is a positive in that. The Wings can give youngsters Smith and Kindl a chance to shine. The new NHL is full of young superstars and for the Wings this is a chance to see if they have one of their own.

However, with young players you always get growing pains and Colaiacovo will help ease those pains. Adding Colaiacovo creates friendly competition amongst the defense. The Wings have seven D-men who could crack the roster however they only have six spots available. This means that at every practice they will all be working hard to make sure their spot in the line-up is safe. If someone is not producing or they have an off night, Detroit will have NHL ready defensemen available to step right into the line-up. Colaiacovo also comes with cap friendly hit of 2.5M. Considering some of the deals defensemen were getting this off-season I believe Colaiacovo is worth the risk-reward scenario for the Wings.

 

Damien Brunner

The signing of Brunner is an interesting one and if it pays off then the Wings management will be praised (and if it doesn't then most will forget about it by this time next year). Brunner, 27 signed a one year deal for a cap hit of $925K. He led the Swiss A league in scoring last season totalling 60 points in 45 games. He is considered a more mature player at 27 but the risk lies in how well he can adapt to the NHL. If Brunner can acclimatize and contribute to the team offensively, he could likely be the best off season acquisition by any team in the NHL. He also adds to the Wings depth at forward and like Colaiacovo, Brunner will create healthy competition on a daily basis that will make all the Wings forwards better. While the wings defence will never be the same it could be argued that they have the most depth at forward and according to Babcock that is something that they sorely need after last season's early exit from the playoffs at the hands of the Nashville Predators.

 

'I thought Zetterberg was fantastic in the series, but when you go through and look at our group, as a group of forwards ' I like the depth on our back end, but I didn’t think we had enough up front and it showed in our scoring,” Babcock said.

Read More Here

Jonas Gustavsson Maple Leafs

(Warren Wimmer/Icon SMI)Jonas Gustavsson:

 

Jonas Gustavsson

One thing you do not often hear the media talk about is the Wings goaltending. Not since the days of Hasek, while Jimmy Howard has been great for the Wings he is not considered an elite goaltender, yet. It has been some time since the Wings have had a backup goalie that would be considered a starting goaltender in the NHL. While Gustavsson did not turn out to be the number one goaltender the Toronto Maple Leafs expected when they signed him, let's face it Toronto is not an easy place to play and most players who leave end up doing much better because they do not have the pressure of the hockey mad Toronto market watching their every move. It would be a good time to remember what happened with Larry Murphy and the Wings, back to back cups. Gustavsson did not have a stellar year last year but he had admirable numbers going 17-17 with 2.92GAA and a .902 save percentage. Let's not forget to take into account that he did not have the most dependable team in front of him. It seems as though the Wings off season moves are all about creating competition and making the whole team play its best. Gustavsson will provide motivation to Jimmy Howard because if Howard stumbles there will be an NHL tender ready to take over the starting position.

If we consider point production and the cap hit carried by each player we see that the Wings bang for their buck is much better on the free agents they did sign compared to that of Parise and Suter. Yes each player will bring more to the table than just points but the chart below does offer an interesting perspective.

 

Player

Cap Hit

GP

Goals

Assists

Points

Points per Game

Points Per Dollar

Suter

7.5M

389

29

169

198

0.51

$179,693

Parise

7.5M

339

149

167

316

0.93

$98,121

Colaiacovo

2.5M

269

18

89

107

0.40

$76,647

Tootoo

1.9M

317

35

63

98

0.31

$74,950

Samuelsson

3M

357

92

122

214

0.60

$61,033

Brunner

925K

232

84

117

201

0.87

$13,020

 

Even though Red Wings fans would have loved to see Suter or Parise wearing the winged wheel on their chest (myself included), in retrospect I believe the Wings will be better in the long run by not having those two players on the books.

The off season signings that the Wings did make will create a competitive atmosphere among all the players. It will also allow the Wings flexibility in the future when signing free agents and home grown talent such as Brendan Smith, Gustav Nyqvist, Thomas Tatar, and Martin Frk.  Wings fans should be excited for the upcoming season if and when it happens because this group of Wings will be a competitive bunch and as always a joy to watch.

This article was originally published at: The Hockey Writers.